IEX shares made a strong comeback on Friday morning, rising over 12% after a solid June quarter report. This comes just a day after the stock crashed nearly 30% in a single session. Investors were quick to buy the dip, hoping for a bargain. But experts still have their doubts.
Solid Q1 Numbers Fuel the Jump
Indian Energy Exchange posted a net profit of Rs 113 crore for Q1 FY26. That’s a 21% increase from Rs 93 crore in the same quarter last year. Revenue also went up 13%, reaching Rs 140 crore.
Expenses grew too, but only by 9%, to Rs 32 crore. So, the company still managed to show strong growth. For now, that’s enough to calm some nerves after Thursday’s crash.
What Caused the Crash?
The panic started when the Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) gave the green light to “market coupling.”
This means that power buy and sell bids from all exchanges, including IEX, will be combined to find a single market clearing price. It sounds fair, but it hits IEX where it hurts the most—its margins.
Over 70% of IEX’s income comes from transaction fees. With one common price across platforms, the edge IEX enjoyed could disappear. That’s why the market punished the stock so hard.
Analysts Still Cautious
Even though IEX shares bounced back, analysts are warning of long-term risks. They say the company may lose its monopoly position in the power trading space.
Its high price-to-earnings (PE) multiple—currently around 35 to 40 times—is based on strong profits and market dominance. But if market coupling eats into revenue, that premium could vanish.
Some even say further price corrections are likely in the coming weeks.
What’s Next for Investors?
If you’re holding IEX shares or thinking of buying them, tread carefully. The Q1 results show the business is still strong, but the rules of the game might be changing soon.
Keep an eye on how the company reacts to the new market setup. If it adapts well, it might hold its ground. If not, that 12% rebound might just be a short break in a longer fall.
Disclaimer:
This article is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Please consult a certified advisor before making investment decisions.
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